职业与健康 ›› 2026, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (6): 834-839.

• 卫生管理与研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于政策一致性指数模型的我国突发公共卫生事件政策评价研究

卫艺璇1, 叶雨秀1, 李妍慧1, 李志杰2, 李奕辰3()   

  1. 1 南通大学江苏 南通 226019
    2 东南大学江苏 南京 211189
    3 四川大学华西第二医院四川 成都 610041
  • 收稿日期:2025-06-24 修回日期:2025-07-14 出版日期:2026-03-15 发布日期:2026-04-03
  • 通信作者: 李奕辰
  • 作者简介:李奕辰,E-mail:liyichen17@foxmail.com
    卫艺璇,女,在读本科生。

Quantitative evaluation of policy of public health rmergencies in China based on policy modeling consistency index model

WEI Yixuan1, YE Yuxiu1, LI Yanhui1, LI Zhijie2, LI Yichen3()   

  1. 1 Nantong UniversityNantongJiangsu 226019, China
    2 Southeast UniversityNanjingJiangsu 211189, China
    3 West China Second University Hospital of Sichuan UniversityChengduSichuan 610041, China
  • Received:2025-06-24 Revised:2025-07-14 Online:2026-03-15 Published:2026-04-03
  • Contact: LI Yichen

摘要:

目的 系统性分析我国当前突发公共卫生事件政策的宏观环境,并基于政策工具为我国突发公共卫生事件政策制定和体系优化提供科学严谨的理论支撑和决策参考。 方法 焦点于我国于2000年1月1日—2023年1月1日国家级层面制定的、针对突发公共卫生事件的典型政策措施,在建立以政策一致性(policy modeling consistency,PMC)指数模型为理论支撑的基础上,对我国在应对突发公共卫生事件时所采取的相关政策措施进行数值化评估。 结果 PMC 指数模型结果表明,我国制定的14项针对突发公共卫生事件的政策中,PMC指数的均值为7.67。在这14项政策中,有6项被评为优秀等级,而8项被评为良好等级;PMC指数得分最高的政策为《国家突发公共卫生事件应急预案》,分值为8.45;得分最低的政策为《国境口岸突发公共卫生事件出入境检验检疫应急处理规定》,分值为6.68。 结论 我国突发公共卫生事件政策总体科学严谨,在有效预防、迅速响应和持续消除突发公共卫生事件及其危害等方面起到了显著作用,但未来仍需根据我国国情变化进行持续优化、完善。

关键词: 突发公共卫生事件, PMC指数模型, 政策评价, 量化研究

Abstract:

Objective To systematically analyze the macro environment of current public health emergency policy in China,provide scientific and rigorous theoretical support and decision-making reference for policy formulation and system optimization of public health emergency based on policy tools. Methods The focus was on the typical policies and measures for public health emergencies formulated at the national level from January 1,2000 to January 1,2023. Based on the theoretical support of policy modeling consistency(PMC) index model,the relevant policies and measures adopted in response to public health emergencies in China were evaluated numerically. Results The results of PMC index model showed that the average value of PMC index was 7.67 in 14 public health emergency policies formulated in China. Of the 14 policies,six were rated excellent while eight were rated good. The policy with the highest PMC index score was the National Public Health Emergency Response Plan,with a score of 8.45. The policy with the lowest score was the Regulations on Emergency Handling of Entry-exit Inspection and Quarantine for Public Health Emergencies at Frontier Ports,with a score of 6.68. Conclusion The overall scientific and rigorous policy of public health emergencies in China has played a significant role in effective prevention,rapid response and continuous elimination of public health emergencies and their hazards,but it still needs to be continuously optimized and improved according to changes in China's national conditions in the future.

Key words: Public health emergencies, PMC index model, Policy evaluation, Quantitative evaluation

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