2018—2022年昌吉市大气质量及预测

职业与健康 ›› 2024, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (10): 1370-1375.

2018—2022年昌吉市大气质量及预测

穆拉提·艾尼瓦尔¹, 徐涛², 晓开提·依不拉音¹

1.新疆医科大学公共卫生学院,新疆乌鲁木齐 830011;
2.新疆环境监测总站,新疆乌鲁木齐 830011

收稿日期:2023-12-15 修回日期:2024-04-08 出版日期:2024-05-15 发布日期:2026-03-13
通信作者: 晓开提·依不拉音,教授,E-mail：xaoket@163.com
作者简介:穆拉提·艾尼瓦尔,男,在读硕士研究生,研究方向为公共卫生。

Air quality and forecast in Changji City from 2018 to 2022

Mulati Ainiwaer¹, XU Tao², Xiaokaiti Yibulayin¹

1. College of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi Xinjiang, 830011, China;
2. Xinjiang Ecological Environment Monitoring Centre, Urumqi Xinjiang, 830011, China

Received:2023-12-15 Revised:2024-04-08 Online:2024-05-15 Published:2026-03-13
Contact: Xiaokaiti Yibulayin,Professor,E-mail：xaoket@163.com

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 目的分析昌吉市2018—2022年大气质量,为环境保护、公共健康、城市规划和国际合作等方面提供重要的数据支持和决策依据。方法收集2018—2022年昌吉市大气污染物数据,分析该地区大气环境状况并采用季节性差分自回归滑动平均模型预测2023年大气主要污染物浓度趋势。结果 2018—2022年昌吉市大气主要污染物均以可吸入颗粒物（particulate matter 10,PM₁₀）和细颗粒物（particulate matter 2.5,PM_2.5）为主,其他污染物污染情况不明显。6种常规污染物存在季节性,PM₁₀、PM_2.5、二氧化硫（sulfur dioxide,SO₂）、二氧化氮（nitrogen dioxide,NO₂）、一氧化碳（carbon monoxide,CO）浓度值均在冬季达到最高,臭氧（ozone,O₃）则相反,在夏季浓度最高。2022年空气质量指数（air quality index,AQI）值最高,2018年最低,预测数据显示2023年PM₁₀、PM_2.5浓度将持续降低。结论昌吉市空气质量在逐渐好转,预测的数据显示2023年昌吉市PM₁₀、PM_2.5浓度相比2022年有所下降,但污染情况在冬季比较明显,需采取持续的防治措施。

关键词: 大气环境污染, 昌吉市, 空气质量指数

Abstract: Objective To analyze the air quality in Changji City from 2018 to 2022,and provide important data support and decision-making basis for environmental protection,public health,urban planning and international cooperation. Methods The data of atmospheric pollutants in Changji City from 2018 to 2022 were collected,the atmospheric environment in the region was analyzed,and the seasonal differential auto-regressive integrated moving average model was used to predict the concentration trend of major atmospheric pollutants in 2023. Results PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 were the main air pollutants in Changji City from 2018 to 2022,and the pollution of other pollutants was not obvious. The six conventional pollutants had seasonality,with PM₁₀,PM_2.5,SO₂,NO₂,and CO concentrations reaching their highest in winter,while O₃ had the opposite trend,with the highest concentration in summer. The air quality index（AQI） had the highest value in 2022 and the lowest value in 2018,and predicted data showed that PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 concentrations would continue to decrease in 2023. Conclusions The air quality in Changji City is gradually improving. The predicted data shows that,compared to 2022,the concentrations of PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 in Changji City will decrease in 2023. However,the pollution situation is more pronounced in winter and continuous prevention and control measures need to be taken.

Key words: Atmospheric environmental pollution, Changji City, Air quality index

中图分类号:

R122.7

穆拉提·艾尼瓦尔, 徐涛, 晓开提·依不拉音. 2018—2022年昌吉市大气质量及预测. [J]职业与健康, 2024, 40(10): 1370-1375.

Mulati Ainiwaer, XU Tao, Xiaokaiti Yibulayin. Air quality and forecast in Changji City from 2018 to 2022. [J]OCCUPATION AND HEALTH, 2024, 40(10): 1370-1375.

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